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The Monetary Digest
The Resource Investor


Bull & Bear's Newsletter Digest, Top Stock Picks, Market Insights

2021's Dividend Aristocrats Elite Club:
All 65 Stocks




IBM clocked its 25th straights year of dividend increases
last year, making it a proud member of the elite club.
 

There are 65 companies that are a member of the Dividends Aristocrats elite club. These companies (also members of the S&P 500 and be worth at least $3 billion at the time of each quarterly rebalancing), haven’t just paid dividends for at least 25 consecutive years – they’ve raised their dividends for a minimum of 25 years straight as well. Here’s the full list of all 65 S&P 500 dividends aristocrats, compiled by U.S. News & World Report, and how long each has been increasing its payouts to shareholders.
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  Lithium Producers Grow Bullish as
EV Revolution Turbocharges Demand

Rising demand for lithium is stoking prices for the electric vehicle battery metal, fueling long-delayed expansions that still may not produce adequate supplies that automakers need to meet aggressive production plans.
Read More

  Shortages, Low Stocks Risk Copper Spiking to New Records
Shortages of copper and dwindling inventories are likely to propel prices of the industrial metal to levels beyond current record highs, unless scrap supplies rise significantly. There is a risk that prices of the red metal spike to $13,000.
Read More

  Berkshire Hathaway Earnings Jump in Q1 2021
Berkshire Hathaway reported the company’s net worth during the first quarter of 2021 increased 1%, or $4.8 billion, to $448 billion with book value equal to $293,627 per Class A share as of 3/31/21. Berkshire earned $11.7 billion in the first quarter, including $7.0 billion of operating earnings and $4.7 billion of investment and derivate gains.
Read More

  China Looks to Take the Lead in Digital Currencies
The global shift to government-issued digital currencies “is like the space race of the 1960s,” says Stanford GSB’s Darrell Duffie. Thanks to soaring Bitcoin prices, cryptocurrencies are mesmerizing the world.
Read More

  Why It Might Not Pay to Sell in May
The sell-in-May hypothesis proposes that equities tend to underperform in the six-month period between May and October. History offers some support for the idea. But while we expect periodic bouts of elevated volatility to continue in the coming months, Mark Haefele, UBS thinks staying invested with a diversified approach is preferable to selling in May for a number of reasons.
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  S&P 500 and DJIA Up Last 9 Post-Election Year Mays
Jeff Hirsch, Stock Trader’s Almanac: May officially marks the beginning of the “Worst Six Months” for the DJIA and S&P. To wit: “Sell in May and Go Away.” Our “Best Six Months Switching Strategy,” created in 1986 by Yale Hirsch, creator of the Stock Trader’s Almanac, proves that there is merit to this old trader’s tale.
Read More

 
  Goldman Sees Commodities Rallying
Over Next Six Months on Strong Demand

U.S. bank Goldman Sachs expects commodities to rally another 13.5% over the next six months on a worldwide reversal of coronavirus curbs, lower interest rates and a weaker dollar, its commodities research team.
Read More

 
  Put an Estate Plan in Place
Here’s a statistic that will raise a few eyebrows: The number of adults younger than 35 who have a will increased by nearly 70% over the past year, reports Caring.com in its 2021 Wills and Estate Planning Study.
Read More

 
  Palladium Shoots to New Records
as Deficit-Fuelled Rally Reignites

Palladium prices have surged to record levels and many analysts expect a further run towards $3,000 per ounce as automakers ramp up purchases of the metal used to neutralise harmful exhaust fumes, worsening a supply shortage.
Read More

 

 
  Coca-Cola to Deliver a Solid Performance
KO offers attractive long-term total return potential, on a risk-adjusted basis. While contending with an unfavorable tax ruling and COVID-19 represent uncertainties, Value Line thinks that KO’s finances and leading market position in multiple arenas will help it weather the potential challenges and deliver a solid performance over the long haul.
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Setting Up for a Supercycle?

A “supercycle” in the commodity market is defined as a multi-year and even decades-long period of time where a structural change in demand keeps supply constrained and prices elevated. Evidence is mounting that we are on the cusp of another cyclical boom for commodities. The Mosaic Co. has seen demand and pricing for its nutrients and fertilizers soar.
Read More

 

 
 
Oil to Hit $40 by 2030
if Climate Goals are Met – Consultancy

Global oil prices could drop to around $40 a barrel by 2030 if governments push to reduce fuel consumption in step with U.N.-backed plans to limit global warming, a leading energy consultancy said. By 2050, Brent may slide to $10 to $18 a barrel.
Read More

 
  Reuters Technical Analysis
2 Outlook 2021 – Wang Tao

Brent and WTI may be range-bound in the second quarter. They are steady on long-term uptrend. Gold looks bullish. Copper and aluminium may retrace further. Palm oil may experience shallow correction before rising. Soybeans are expected to keep rising while corn and wheat may correct more. Coffee will resume uptrend after correction. Cocoa will head south. Dollar index may revisit Sept 2020 high. Daily, Weekly, and Monthly charts included.
To Read the Full Report, Click Here
 
  Spotlight on Two ETFs:
One Focuses on Value, the Other on Yield

Two exchange-traded funds for investors seeking value stocks or yield are spotlighted by two editors of Kiplinger’s Personal Finance. DSTL is a value fund with a twist and VWOB is a good choice for yield.
Read More

  There are Pros and Cons to Buying Bitcoin
Several well-known firms have embraced bitcoin in one way or another. Mastercard and PayPal have each said customers will soon be able to use bitcoin to pay for purchases through their respective networks. Is it time for regular folks to buy bitcoin? Not necessarily. There are pros and cons to buying it, and its recent popularity doesn’t erase its drawbacks.
Read More
 

The Bull & Bear Financial Report

Featured Articles Inside This Issue:


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  GOLD: The Mother of all Opportunities – At current levels, Gold looks to be an absolute steal. All things considered, the current market price looks like a good entry point. A great fear stalks the land of asset management – the return of Inflation. And, with it, the death of an investing paradigm: the dominance of a traditional balanced portfolio of 60% equities, and 40% bonds.

  Economic Outlook 2021 – Although an end to the recession is not yet official, growth is convincingly on the upswing. For 2021, analysts are forecasting growth of 23%, with strategists even more optimistic. The biggest gainers are expected to be in so-called cyclical sectors that do well when the economy does.

  Tread Carefully in a Hot IPO Market – IPOs are hot again. A new wave of young companies, many that have yet to post a profit, are selling stock to the public for the first time. And the reception from investors has been bullish.

  12 Hot Upcoming IPOs to Watch For in 2021 – The most exciting initial public offerings expected in 2021 range from a crypto exchange to an Amazon-backed EV play to a popular grocery-delivery app. A host of companies plan on tapping Wall Street for much-needed capital.

  Bull & Bear’s Digest of Investment Newsletters – Buy/Sell advice from the world’s top-performing newsletters. Investment and market-timing experts give their Top Stock Picks, Trading Strategies and Market Trends. Companies mentioned: SunPower, Canadian Solar MIND C.T.I., Microsoft, Paypal, Amgen, BCE, Bank of Montreal, ePlus and more.

  Inevitable Pickup in Inflation Will Fuel Interest in Gold – John Ing, President, Maison Placements Canada, believes the inevitable pickup in inflation will fuel interest in gold, a classic inflation hedge. Ing expects gold equities to outperform the markets as gold’s rise shows that investors are nervous and buyers like China and the industry themselves need to replace depleting reserves. Buy/Sell advice for Agnico-Eagle, B2Gold, Barrick, Centamin, Centerra Gold, Eldorado Gold, Kirkland Lake Gold, Lundin Gold, Newmont and Yamana Gold.

  The Bull & Bear’s Insider – Special Reports available: Jurassic Risk and the Chomping of the Traditional Balanced Portfolio: Investors need to prepare for a world of greater inflation volatility; 88-page Preview Chartbook of the In Gold We Trust report 2021 by Incrementum AG; Silver Scams; Jay Taylor hosts Turning Hard Times into Good Times; “Where Is Silver Going” broadcast by David Morgan, The Morgan Report. Newsletter Profile of James Rohrbach, editor of Investment Models Inc., a consistent Top Ten Timer.

  

 


  Gold & Silver Under Extreme Pressure
VIDEO – David Morgan: Gold and Silver are under pressure, with silver breaking through the key $25.00 level trading. There are no guarantees that the breakdown will continue; however, the pattern is the most bearish since last November.
Watch Video

 

  Humble Aluminium Can Shows
a Circular Economy Won’t Be Easy

When Coors introduced the first all-aluminium beverage can in 1959, it offered one cent on every can returned. The U.S. brewer knew it could recycle the used cans to make new cans at a fraction of the cost of virgin metal. Recycling uses only 5% of the energy needed to convert alumina into primary aluminium and you can reprocess the stuff almost infinitely.
 

  Top Billionaire Stock Picks
If you are curious to see how billionaire investors such as Warren Buffett, Carl Icahn and Bill Ackman are making their money these days, just check out the infographic. You’ll find the top three holdings of 12 big-name billionaires, plus an overview of the stocks they’ve been buying and selling lately. Read More

  Invest in these Great Places to Work
Companies that treat their workers well are increasingly being viewed as good investments. Here are companies that are great places to work and great investments.
Read More

  Investment Newsletter Profile: Investment Models, Inc.
Investment Models, Inc. which has a very impressive 40+ year track record and is consistently ranked a “Top Ten Timer” by Timer Digest. Rohrbach was recently featured on the front cover of Timer Digest. Rohrbach’s stock market signal alerts will tell you exactly when to get in and when to get out of the stock market. No guessing!
Read More

  Silver Rush Creates Silver Scams
The Chinese are blowing up the web selling fake silver dollars. Anti-Counterfeiting Educational Foundation warns of surge in fake “silver” coins offered online.
Read More

  The Bull & Bear Financial Report Classifieds
Where ads are read for profit! BRE-X Stock Certificates. How to get a FREE copy of the 2021 Stock Trader’s Almanac. Mining claims available. FREE copy of The Stock Warrant Handbook by Dudley Baker. Partner in hemp to CBD oil operation. Investment Models Inc – An impressive 40-year track record.
Read More

  U.S. Coffee Shops Will Only Return to
Pre-Pandemic Sales in 2023 – Report

U.S. branded coffee shops will only return to pre-pandemic sales levels next year after the COVID-19 pandemic wiped out nearly a quarter of their turnover last year, according to Allegra World Coffee Portal, a research and consultancy firm.
Read More

 
How a Weaker Dollar Affects Your Portfolio

We rarely worry about whether the dollar is strong or weak relative to other foreign currencies, unless we have plans to travel abroad and need euros, yen or pesos. Even so, moves in the dollar can affect your portfolio in surprising ways.
Read More
  Finding Value in Small Cap Stocks
A The argument for smaller companies used to be simple: Their shares are riskier, on average, than shares of larger companies, but they return more to investors. Consider these three small-cap funds with records of successful stock picking.
  Stocks for Green Investors
Here are some companies that are taking up the sustainability challenge and addressing pressing environmental problems – too much trash, scarce resources and increasingly intractable weather woes.
  Beyond the Coronavirus Market:
Five Red Flags Every Investor Should Heed

Will the coronavirus crash the stock market? Who knows. But Peter J. Mougey says considering that "once in a lifetime" market crashes now happen once a decade, you're better off worrying about investment issues you can control. Here, he shines a light on bad, life-ruining advice many investors get – and what you can do to recognize and avoid it.
  The New Best Choice Cloud Software
The Market Timer App by Best Choice Software is a cloud-based computer program covering stocks, mutual funds and options. It maintains a historical database of both price and earnings of over 8000 US. Stocks. All the data resides on the cloud so Market Timer can be accessed from anywhere at anytime.
  Leave The Legacy You Want
With This End-Of-Life Checklist

The Market Timer
A lifetime of hard work may have rewarded you with a nice home and hefty bank accounts, but what happens to all those assets once you’re gone?
The Bull & Bear: Market Trends, Trading & Investment Ideas
 
5 Reasons to Fire Someone & How to do it ‘Right’
Roxi Bahar Hewertson provides decision makers at any supervisory level, exactly what they need to get it right every time they hire, develop, or fire someone. Learning how to navigate the hiring and firing process is a corporate essential.
Read More

A Cheat Sheet for Annual Reports

The information in a Form 10-K, the annual report that public U.S. companies must file with the Securities and Exchange Commission, can steer you toward winning stocks and away from losing ones. Nellie S. Huang, Kiplinger’s Personal Finance. Here’s what to look for.


Seven Unexpected Ways to Make Your Online Meeting More Engaging
You can't run a good virtual meeting without engaged participants – and with much of the U.S. workforce working from home, knowing how to grab and hold their attention is Job One. Howard Tiersky shares some simple "plot twists" to keep your audience on the edge of their seats.

Astronomy Picture of the Day
Discover the Cosmos—Each day a different image or photograph of our fascinating universe is featured, along with a brief explanation written by a professional astronomer.

Tax Filing Tips
  3 Things to Know After Filing Your Tax Return
Most people have filed their income tax return by now. But with the deadline for filing 2020 individual returns pushed out to May 17, you might not have filed yours quite yet. Or you might be taking advantage of extending your return to Oct. 15. Whenever you file, here are three important things to keep in mind afterwards.
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  Claiming the Home Office Deduction
Many people have found themselves working from home during the COVID-19 pandemic. If you’re one of them, you might wonder, “Can I claim the home office deduction on my 2020 tax return?”
Read More
  What You Need To Know
About the Recovery Rebate Credit

Rocky Mengle, tax editor for Kiplinger's Personal Finance explains what is the Recovery Rebate Credit, and what does it have to do with the stimulus checks? The Recovery Rebate Tax Credit and stimulus checks are joined at the hip. Both the first ($1,200) and second ($600) stimulus checks were simply advance payments of the credit.
Read More
  Recovery Rebate Can Be Reduced
If You Owe Back Taxes, Child Support

Many people have found themselves working from home during the COVID-19 pandemic. If you’re one of them, you might wonder, “Can I claim the home office deduction on my 2020 tax return?”
Read More
  Best Values in Tax Software
Preparing your own return instead of hiring a preparer could save you money, but tax software can get expensive in a hurry, even for taxpayers with fairly straightforward returns. Tax editors at Kiplinger review online versions of five popular programs.
Read More
  9 Ways to Reduce Your Canadian Taxes
Financial planner Mark Halpern says now is the time to prepare for the tax increases that will help Ottawa pay for all its COVID relief efforts. In The TaxLetter, Halpern listed 9 suggestions that will help lessen the tax bite.
Read More
The Bull & Bear NewsWire

Doug Gerlach, editor of the award-winning newsletter, Investor Advisory Service, reports on companies that are reporting their quarterly earnings. The following companies are also tracked by IAS: Alphabet, Apple, CarGurtus, D.R. Horton, Facebook, and O’Reilly Automotive:

Alphabet Bullish on Long-Term Opportunities
The combination of economies reopening, returning advertising demand, and an easy comparison to last year led to great results for Alphabet. Sales for the first quarter increased 34%, 32% in constant currency.
Read More

Apple Produced Blowout Results for Fiscal Q2
But Performance Only Met Expectations

Apple produced blowout results for its fiscal second quarter, but shares didn’t react as the performance only met expectations. Sales were $89.6 billion, up a staggering 54%, led by a 66% advance for the firm’s iPhone 12 family of 5G SmartPhones.
Read More

CarGurus Posts Solid Q1 of Profitability
A solid first quarter of profitability coupled with rapid growth from the recent acquisition of CarOffer for dealer-to-dealer vehicle auctions propelled CarGurus shares up 14%.
Read More

D.R. Horton Expects to Continue to Grow its
Business at a Double-Digit Pace into Fiscal 2022

D.R. Horton reported another string quarter as revenue in fiscal Q2 increased 43% while EPS advanced 95%. It expects to continue to grow its business at a double-digit pace into Fiscal 2022.
Read More .

Rebound in Online Advertising a Boon to Facebook
The rebound in online advertising has been a boon to social media, Facebook included. Sales for the first quarter grew 48%, 44% in constant currency.
Read More

O’Reilly Reports Outstanding Record-Breaking Quarter
O’Reilly Automotive reported Q1 results well ahead of expectations, aided by a combination of favorable weather and the latest rounds of government stimulus. Strength was broad-based across both the do-it-yourself and professional categories as comparable store sales advanced nearly 25%.
Read More

Ingrid Hendershot, CFA, founder and president of Hendershot Investments Inc., an investment management firm and editor of Hendershot Investments, newsletter regularly posts earnings estimates on companies held in portfolios. Companies reporting quarterly earnings are Regeneron Pharmaceuticals and Cognizant:

Regeneron Reports Strong First Quarter
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals reported a healthy 38% increase in first quarter revenues to $2.5 billion with net earnings surging 78% to $1.15 billion and EPS soaring 86%, on fewer shares outstanding, to $10.09. Adjusted EPS, which excludes unrealized gains and losses on investments and other items, increased 50% to $9.89.
Read More

Cognizant Reports First Quarter 2021 Results
Cognizant reported first quarter revenues rose 4% to $4.4 billion with net income up 38% to $505 million and EPS up 42% to $.95. Revenue growth was driven by digital revenue growth of 15% which now represents 44% of total revenue up from 39% in the prior year period.
Read More

Argonaut Gold Record Quarterly Production of Gold
Argonaut Gold Announces Record Quarterly Production of 59,704 Gold Equivalent Ounces, Record Quarterly Revenue of $105.3 Million and Earnings per Share of $0.09.
Read More

Fortuna Silver Boosts Operating Income 2,144% in Q1 2021
Fortuna Silver Mines reported record first quarter 2021 net income of $26.4 million, adjusted net income of $27.5 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $60.8 million.
Read More

Torex Gold Reports Strong Operational Start to the Year
Torex Gold Resources Inc. reported Q1 2021 gold production of 129,500 ounces, which is the Company’s highest first quarter of production on record.
Read More

Franco-Nevada Reports Strong Q1 Results Record Revenues and High Margins
Franco-Nevada’s diversified portfolio outperformed in the first quarter generating record revenues and an 85% Adjusted EBITDA Margin. FNV revised their guidance and outlook and now expect 25% growth in revenue over the next five years.
Read More

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